The current year will almost certainly be the warmest since the beginning of industrialisation. For the first time since records began, the globally averaged temperature will virtually certainly be more than 1.5 degrees above pre-industrial levels, as the EU's Copernicus Climate Change Service announced. Has the ever-present goal of the Paris Climate Conference to limit global warming to 1.5 degrees now been missed?
No. "The 1.5-degree threshold has been crossed" – experts could only make such a statement about the climate crisis many years after the fact, under the currently applicable criteria: researchers and the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change look at the average temperature over 20 years compared to the period 1850 to 1900. When the temperature over the average of those years has been elevated by 1.5 degrees, they designate the middle year as the threshold year. This therefore only becomes apparent 10 years retrospectively.
1.5-degree target missed around 2030…
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